Aaron Jones was great in fantasy last year, putting up 1,558 yards from scrimmage, 19 total touchdowns, and 49 receptions. This year, there is reason to believe Jones won’t be able to put up numbers like that. First of all, Jones’s numbers were very high in games that Davante Adams missed. In four games he had 551 yards from scrimmage, 7 total touchdowns, and 22 receptions (2,204 yards from scrimmage, 28 total touchdowns, and 88 receptions over the course of an entire season). In 12 games without Adams Jones had 1,007 yards from scrimmage, 12 total touchdowns, and 27 receptions (1,343 yards from scrimmage, 16 total touchdowns, and 36 receptions). His numbers without Adams are fine, but they aren’t nearly as good as the ones he had with Adams gone. In addition to having Adams back, Jones’s numbers will be limited by the Packers’ committee approach. The Packers drafted A.J. Dillon in the second round and still have Jamaal Williams. Drafting Dillon so high is not a good sign for Jones and it will likely mean that he won’t get the type of work he got last year. On the other hand, Jones and Jamaal Williams are both free agents after this year and maybe Dillon is meant to take over after this year without really impacting Jones’s workload this year. If Dillon gets work, however, it will make Jones more inconsistent and less productive. Overall, Aaron Jones will still be able to have a good year because the Packers will have a run-first approach and he will be the main goal line back, but he likely won’t be able to produce like he did last year, so he is not worth drafting as an RB1 even though he still has that upside.
Aaron Jones was great in fantasy last year, putting up 1,558 yards from scrimmage, 19 total touchdowns, and 49 receptions. This year, there is reason to believe Jones won’t be able to put up numbers like that. First of all, Jones’s numbers were very high in games that Davante Adams missed. In four games he had 551 yards from scrimmage, 7 total touchdowns, and 22 receptions (2,204 yards from scrimmage, 28 total touchdowns, and 88 receptions over the course of an entire season). In 12 games without Adams Jones had 1,007 yards from scrimmage, 12 total touchdowns, and 27 receptions (1,343 yards from scrimmage, 16 total touchdowns, and 36 receptions). His numbers without Adams are fine, but they aren’t nearly as good as the ones he had with Adams gone. In addition to having Adams back, Jones’s numbers will be limited by the Packers’ committee approach. The Packers drafted A.J. Dillon in the second round and still have Jamaal Williams. Drafting Dillon so high is not a good sign for Jones and it will likely mean that he won’t get the type of work he got last year. On the other hand, Jones and Jamaal Williams are both free agents after this year and maybe Dillon is meant to take over after this year without really impacting Jones’s workload this year. If Dillon gets work, however, it will make Jones more inconsistent and less productive. Overall, Aaron Jones will still be able to have a good year because the Packers will have a run-first approach and he will be the main goal line back, but he likely won’t be able to produce like he did last year, so he is not worth drafting as an RB1 even though he still has that upside.