Nick Chubb was great last year, but now Kareem Hunt is going to be there for a full season and Chubb will be sharing the backfield with him. That shouldn’t prevent Chubb from being a top-10 fantasy running back next year, however. In eight games with Kareem Hunt on the field Chubb had 808 yards from scrimmage, 2 total touchdowns, and 11 receptions. That equates to 1,616 yards from scrimmage, 4 total touchdowns, and 22 receptions over the course of an entire season. The touchdowns weren’t low because Kareem Hunt was there, as Chubb was still the goal line back (he has 11 goal line carries in those eight games). He just failed to convert on most of his goal line carries. The biggest issue was obviously the 22 receptions. Kareem Hunt took a lot of receiving work from Chubb, so it seems like next year he will be purely a runner. There is reason to expect Chubb to do even better on the ground next year, however, as the Browns massively improved their offensive line by adding Jack Conklin, who is a top-5 run blocking graded offensive tackle by PFF, and drafting Jedrick Wills Jr. 10th overall. These additions will make the Browns want to run the ball more and improve Chubb’s efficiency, which was already very high at 5 yards per carry. Chubb was horribly inefficient on goal line carries last year, as he had 15 carries for only 2 touchdowns and NEGATIVE 14 rushing yards. Goal line success is mostly determined by the offensive line, not the running back, so the improved offensive line will cause Chubb to be much more efficient on the goal line and therefore score far more touchdowns. The problem is that all of this analysis on Chubb is assuming the touch share between Chubb and Kareem Hunt stays the same, and it is very possible that that isn’t that case. Kareem Hunt is a VERY good running back. Let’s not forget that he led the league in rushing in his first season and was on pace for 20 touchdowns in his second season before being placed on the commissioner’s exempt list. He is fully capable of making this a committee in which him and Chubb get a 50-50 split of touches. Because of that, Chubb is much more risky than other top running backs and should not be drafted in the first round. The addition of Kevin Stefanski as head coach should help compensate for Chubb losing work to Hunt because last year Stefanski’s offense ran the ball on 48% of their plays, so the Browns will be running the ball a lot more next year. Despite that, Chubb’s number of touches will inevitably go down if Kareem Hunt starts to perform like he is capable. Overall, Chubb is a very risky pick, and though he has tons of upside, he should not be drafted in the first round.