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Rob Gronkowski

TE, Buccaneers

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Gronk isn’t the same player he once was, but he should still be relatively productive. In his last season with the Patriots Gronk had only 47 receptions for 682 yards and 3 touchdowns in 13 games (58 receptions for 839 yards and 4 touchdowns over the course of an entire season). Those aren’t horrible numbers by any means, but they aren’t Gronk-type numbers. The thing is that those numbers were with the Patriots, a team that had an offense built around Gronk and not many receivers challenging him for targets. Now Gronk goes to Tampa Bay where he is surrounded by the best receiving core of his career in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. In addition, Bruce Arians’s offenses don’t love to throw to the tight end. Throw in the fact that Gronk has taken a year off from football and there is simply no chance he puts up numbers like he did even in his last year with the Patriots. Gronk is almost a guarantee to miss games, as he’s only played a full 16 game season twice in his career (three times if you count 2014 when the Patriots rested their starters in week 17 after clinching the top seed in the AFC). Tom Brady is there, which will ensure that Gronk has some production, especially in the red zone, but that can only do so much. Overall, Gronk will not be even close to the player we all know him as, but he should be a productive starter and is worth a late round pick.

Standard Analytics-Based Projected Points: 110.8

PPR Analytics-Based Projected Points: 147.2

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