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Tom Brady

QB, Buccaneers

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Tom Brady is no longer the player he used to be, so don’t draft him expecting a top-5 season. There are positives and negatives to Brady’s move to Tampa Bay fantasy-wise. The positive is that Brady will be playing with the best receiving core he’s had in a long time. There are three negatives. First, Tom Brady isn’t a fit for the Buccaneers offense whatsoever. Bruce Arians runs a vertical offense and loves to throw the ball down the field. Brady’s strength has always been him timing, accuracy, and ability to read the defense. He doesn’t have the arm strength or deep accuracy to do well in a vertical offense. Second, it has always been hard for receivers to gain Tom Brady’s trust and now everyone except for Gronk is new to him. In addition, with limited offseason training Brady won’t have as much time to build chemistry with his receivers. Third, Mike Evans and Brady will not work well together. Brady has never liked throwing 50-50 balls and that is Evan’s specialty. It will be hard for Brady to actually get Evans involved. Those three problems, combined with Brady’s age, will make it very hard for Brady to produce at an elite level next season. Despite that, he is the G.O.A.T and was able to put up 4,057 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, and 3 rushing touchdowns last year with a banged up receiving core, so if everything works out, he could end up being a good option. That’s a big if, however. Overall, Brady is risky because of all of the unknowns and his age, but he still has good upside so he is worth drafting in the late rounds and pairing with another quarterback.

Analytics-Based Projected Points: 326.4

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