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Aaron Rodgers

QB, Packers

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Aaron Rodgers is a fantastic value at where he’s going in fantasy drafts. Everyone is talking about how Rodgers shouldn’t be viewed as an elite fantasy quarterback because he’s bound to regress, and while that’s true to an extent, he should still be viewed as a solid QB1. Rodgers isn’t going to be able to do what he did last year again. He was way too efficient to repeat that performance. His 9.1% touchdown rate was almost 50% higher than his career average and his 8.2 yards per attempt were his highest since 2011. That means you should expect both his yards and his touchdowns to come down. But at the end of the day, Rodgers is a generational talent who hasn’t shown any signs of decline. He has arguably the best receiver in the NFL in Davante Adams and a high-end tight end in Robert Tonyan. He probably can’t be a league-winning player because he doesn’t pass the ball as much as guys like Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott and doesn’t run the ball as much as Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson, but he’s still a great player who score a ton of points.

Analytics-Based Projected Points: 413.82

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