Alvin Kamara was great last year, but Drew Brees is gone. That causes a lot of concern for Kamara. Since he is more of a receiving back, having a QB like Brees who loved to check it down to the running back was very helpful. Having Brees also meant defenses couldn’t focus as much on the run, so Kamara had more running lanes. The offense was also moving down the field very often with Brees, so Kamara had a ton of touchdown opportunities. Now that Drew Brees is gone, that won’t be the case. Kamara played in five games without Brees in 2019 because Brees got hurt. Teddy Bridgewater filled in. In those games, Kamara had 480 yards from scrimmage, 26 catches, and two touchdowns. Over the course of a 16-game season that is 1,536 yards from scrimmage, 83 catches, and 6 touchdowns. Those numbers aren’t bad by any means, but they would be very low for Kamara, especially in touchdowns. It’s important to note that Kamara struggled to score for that entire season, even when Brees was on the field, but he was still scoring at a slightly higher rate when Brees was playing. The Saints will likely choose to use more of Taysom Hill in the red zone now that Brees is gone, and that will definitely hurt Kamara’s touchdown upside. Kamara also played 4 games with Taysom Hill at QB last year when Brees was hurt. He had 288 yards from scrimmage, 10 catches, and three touchdowns. That ends up being 1,152 yards from scrimmage, 40 catches, and 12 touchdowns over the course of a 16-game season. Those are far from elite numbers. Kamara’s numbers will probably end up being somewhere in-between what his numbers were with Teddy Bridgewater and Tayson Hill at QB because Jameis Winston will likely be operating the offense for most of the time with Taysom Hill taking over near in the red zone. The thing is that the Saints have next to no weapons with Michael Thomas injured and Emmanuel Sanders gone, so they will be leaning heavily on Kamara. He’ll be less efficient because the Saints will be scoring less and defenses will be focusing more on Kamara, but his increased touches should make up for it. Overall, Alvin Kamara is still an elite player and will likely get more touches than ever before, but he doesn’t have the ceiling he once had and is pretty risky because of the uncertainty surrounding his situation.