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Justin Jefferson

WR, Vikings

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Justin Jefferson had arguably the greatest rookie season for a receiver in NFL history last year, and he should be even better this upcoming season. Jefferson struggled in his first two games, but in his last 14 games of the season he had 83 catches for 1,310 yards and 7 touchdowns. That would be 95 catches for 1,497 yards and 8 touchdowns over the course of 16 games. It’s no secret that receivers typically struggle in their rookie years before taking a step up in year two. We’ve seen it with practically every receiver in the league. We should expect the same for Jefferson, which means he has the upside to finish as the best receiver in fantasy. Jefferson likely won’t see an increase in efficiency, as he averaged an insane 11.2 yards per target last year, but he will probably see an increase in volume. Jefferson’s improvement means he will be open more often, so he will get the ball more. Jefferson also has a great floor because he probably won’t do any worse than he did last season due to the fact that he’s more experienced. It’s rare to see a receiver peak in their rookie year. Overall, Justin Jefferson has all the upside in the world and is dramatically undervalued in fantasy drafts. He’s worth taking as early as the second round.

Standard Analytics-Based Projected Points: 166.6

PPR Analytics-Based Projected Points: 257

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